Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 5.611554 6.141208 6.721656 7.409231 8.207055 9.110568 10.221159
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 4.829994 5.553303 6.408762 7.512381 8.924881 10.711088 13.208375
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 4.270796 5.062645 6.045427 7.386969 9.225296 11.747334 15.652883
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 3.863458 4.682739 5.736451 7.238112 9.410044 12.597608 17.997217
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.542378 4.368780 5.462007 7.075262 9.516115 13.313768 20.295770
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.319375 4.158031 5.296139 7.030688 9.769764 14.283168 23.313833
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.141473 3.989877 5.167783 7.016540 10.054955 15.346864 26.885911
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.030793 3.903727 5.144391 7.152399 10.596782 16.975700 32.359222
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.839736 3.688339 4.911469 6.928469 10.481468 17.325265 34.987366
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.673990 3.498711 4.702270 6.720476 10.362422 17.638131 37.684767
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.548967 3.360862 4.561251 6.610178 10.404869 18.296310 41.735305
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.435612 3.233650 4.427518 6.498561 10.427532 18.914782 46.067970
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.406310 3.236003 4.504851 6.774601 11.285761 21.801180 61.254305
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.339484 3.177875 4.482468 6.874323 11.813581 24.102011 77.638443
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.238344 3.060386 4.354125 6.765025 11.873674 25.173142 90.004284
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.141943 2.945094 4.221575 6.634404 11.865337 26.056016 103.196453
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.051024 2.833938 4.088989 6.491268 11.806716 26.779914 117.282687
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.984970 2.759197 4.013508 6.452054 11.988047 28.358253 143.012686
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.928156 2.696469 3.954558 6.439604 12.233107 30.274583 180.420742
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.896166 2.672326 3.960838 6.559094 12.833487 33.810002 262.285804
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.817678 2.568304 3.820150 6.362069 12.574520 33.867407 291.546566
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.745886 2.472800 3.690313 6.178718 12.329853 33.922433 324.897260
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.691100 2.403505 3.604125 6.081351 12.307354 34.953242 397.900177